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  • Centrica and FTI report finds that hydrogen storage would help balance the UK's energy system and reduce bills.

  • A net zero scenario including large scale hydrogen storage - specifically, a redeveloped Rough gas storage facility - would reduce energy costs by an additional £1bn per year by 2050.

  • Report also finds that a UK energy system focused on renewable generation risks high levels of intermittency without an established hydrogen market. By 2050, electricity generation from renewables could exceed total demand around 15% of the time.

  • Electricity generation from renewables could also rise or fall by as much as 100GW over the course of a single day. More than twice current levels of peak demand on winter evenings and the equivalent energy output from over 30 Hinkley Point C nuclear power stations.

A landmark report by Centrica and FTI Consulting has confirmed the vital role that hydrogen can play in delivering a secure, decarbonised electricity system.

The report found that a future energy system without an established hydrogen market would leave the UK at risk of huge swings in electricity generation from renewables, with no way of addressing the shortfalls and the surplus. By 2050, there could be excess electricity generation, driven by renewables around 15% of the time. Electricity generation from renewables could also rise or fall by as much as 100GW over the course of a single day making it incredibly difficult to balance the grid.

“What this report clearly demonstrates is the vital importance of hydrogen in decarbonising the UK’s energy system. By providing a way to store excess electricity, hydrogen will be crucial to managing more intermittency."

Chris O’Shea, Group Chief Executive of Centrica

Reducing bills

Not only would hydrogen storage and transportation help address these issues, but the report also found that large scale hydrogen storage could reduce customer energy costs by as much as £1bn per year by 2050. The UK currently has the lowest levels of energy storage of the world’s major economies.

Addressing intermittency

While the UK has committed to net zero by 2050 and made more progress towards this ambition than other major economies, significant delivery challenges remain.

By providing a means of storing energy over a longer period of time, and transporting energy over a greater distance, hydrogen can address the major issues with renewable generation - intermittency and curtailment. For this to be successful, the report found that the development of a hydrogen transportation network and sufficient large-scale storage facilities will be necessary. Repurposing underground gas pipes to be used as a hydrogen transport network would create an underground ‘superhighway’ to move renewable electricity as hydrogen gas. This could also reduce the volume of above ground electricity transmission infrastructure needed and significantly reduce the cost of net zero for consumers.

Increased dependence on renewable generation will introduce greater supply volatility and increase cost on both a daily and seasonal basis. The report illustrates that making hydrogen when there is excess energy that can be stored and used when the wind isn’t blowing, and the sun isn’t shining, will be an essential part of the solution required to balance intermittent renewables.

Salt caverns and depleted gas fields

The report took a ‘whole-systems approach’ to explore a net zero future, reviewing all available and established methods for decarbonising the UK. Its publication comes as the National Energy System Operator (NESO) has been tasked with ensuring a secure and affordable future British energy system and planning for Britain’s electricity and gas networks.

It concluded that both salt caverns and depleted gas fields will be required for hydrogen storage, with salt caverns being used for short term responses, and depleted gas fields, such as Rough, used for longer term storage. The modelling illustrates how both types of storage would work together to ensure hydrogen was in the right place, at the right time.

Chris O’Shea, Group Chief Executive of Centrica said: “At Centrica we believe wholeheartedly that the UK can reach net zero, but we’re realistic about the challenges the transition will pose. We need to be agnostic about the technology; there won’t be a single silver bullet that delivers this crucial change.

“What this report clearly demonstrates is the vital importance of hydrogen in decarbonising the UK’s energy system. By providing a way to store excess electricity, hydrogen will be crucial to managing more intermittency.

“We now have a blueprint for the role that hydrogen could play as a very big battery in a net zero energy system, providing electricity when the wind doesn’t blow, and the sun doesn’t shine. All we need now is the green light from regulators and the government to unlock £2bn of investment to transform our existing Rough storage facility to become the world’s biggest hydrogen storage facility and start building out the energy system of the future.”

Centrica has offered to invest £2bn in upgrading and redeveloping the Rough gas storage facility. The site is currently responsible for 50% of the UK’s gas storage but requires significant investment to enable it to store hydrogen. To unlock the £2bn investment in the facility, Centrica requires a cap and floor model for the asset, similar to the model used for other forms of long-duration energy storage. If the facility had been able to operate at maximum capacity over the peak of the energy crisis (a scenario unreachable without regulatory certainty) it would have saved UK consumers over £5bn.

Read the full report here.

Notes to Editors

  • A ‘Whole-Systems approach’ means that the report examined the interactions between electricity, gas, and hydrogen markets to assess what role each would play in a decarbonised energy system.
  • The report used an industry standard modelling tool, Plexos, to develop a whole-systems model which integrates the three energy vectors of electricity, gas, and hydrogen.
  • FTI sought, wherever possible and appropriate, to use third party publicly available information as inputs into the modelling.
  • FTI made more conservative adjustments to projections of hydrogen demand and supply included in such third party publicly available information, specifically to various forecasts produced by NESO in their Future Energy Scenarios (“FES”) 2022 scenarios.
  • FTI also sought advice from industry stakeholders, including NESO and National Gas, to build detailed discussions and conduct assumption testing.
  • The initial report findings were presented to key industry stakeholders, including DESNZ, NESO, and various other stakeholders with potential investment in the hydrogen value chain.
  • The report assumed that hydrogen demand would come from specific sectors. It worked on the basis that demand would increase 14-fold between 2030 and 2050, which the vast majority in 2050 coming from transport and industrial clusters.

Rough

·      For further context on the Rough gas storage site and the capacity it has operated at over the last year click here.

·       Rough is unique in being the only viable long-term hydrogen storage solution.

Centrica and net zero

·       In July 2023, Centrica announced its Green-focused Investment Strategy. The strategy will see Centrica invest up to £4bn up to the end of 2028, with the investment primarily in renewable generation, security of supply, flexibility, and customers.

·       Since the investment was announced the company has committed to a range of projects, including an innovative commercial scale Liquid Air Energy Storage site in Manchester with Highview Power.